KMT Taichung CC nominations

From a few news stories on the internet, I have put together the results of the KMT’s telephone survey primary for nominations to the Taichung City Council.  I could not find the exact results; all I could find was who won and who lost.  However, one story reporting on the portion of the primary in the old Taichung City listed ranks for the winners (though not for the losers).

Also, a story on the portion in the old Taichung County provided the current jobs of many candidates.  This is interesting to me.  There is a pretty clear hierarchy of positions.  From best to worst, the ranking is township mayor, county assembly (ie: incumbent), speaker of township assembly, regular member of township assembly.

Finally, we are starting to get into the very bloody portion of the election.  Taipei City actually has more seats than before, while Xinbei City has the same number.  Taichung, Tainan, and Kaohsiung all have a lot of incumbents chasing a small number of seats.  This is not as bad for the DPP, which has historically been underrepresented in these lower-level elections and therefore still has a little bit of space to grow.  However, it is a bloodbath for the KMT.  I count 14 incumbents who did not win nominations in Taichung.  I’m guessing that most of them will quit the KMT and run for re-election as independents

Why would KMT primary losers be less likely to respect survey results than DPP losers?  KMT politicians rely much more heavily on organization, which may or may not include vote buying.  This type of mobilization doesn’t affect the results of telephone surveys very much.  As such, losers can argue that there is a significant gap between these results and the likely results of a general election, when their organizations will come into play.

		spots	name	name	F	Current	Win
	Taichung
1	Dajia	3	姚應龍	Yao Yinglong		incumbent	Y
			林素真	Lin Suzhen	F	Incumbent	Y
			楊永昌	Yang Yongchang		Incumbent
			李鴻榮	Li Hongrong		incumbent	Y
.
2	Qingshui	3*	楊秋雲	Yang Qiuyun	F	incumbent	Y
			蘇麗華	Su Lihua			Y
			顏永滄	Yan Yongcang			Y
			尤璧鈴	You Biling	F	incumbent	?
.
3	Dadu	3*	林汝洲	Lin Ruzhou		Dadu mayor	Y
			吳瓊華	Wu Qionghua	F	Incumbent	Y
			楊忠諺	Yang Zhongyan		incumbent
			謝蒼海	Xie Canghai		Former Wuri mayor
			林士昌	Lin Shichang		incumbent	Y
			何端格	He Duange		incumbent
.
4	Fengyuan	4*	王朝坤	Wang Chaokun		Houli township assembly speaker	Y
			陳本添	Chen Bentian		Incumbent	Y
			張溢城	Zhang Yicheng		Incumbent	Y
			陳清龍	Chen Qinglong		Incumbent
			車淑娟	Che Shujuan	F	incumbent	Y
			劉重迪	Liu Chongdi		Fengyuan township assembly member
.
5	Tanzi	4*	張立傑	Zhang Lijie		Incumbent
			王永通	Wang Yongtong		incumbent
			吳顯森	Wu Xiansen		Daya mayor	Y
			王加佳	Wang Jiajia	F	Incumbent	Y
			羅永珍	Luo Yongzhen	F	Shengang mayor	Y
			何秀香	He Xiuxiang
			賴朝國	Lai Chaoguo		incumbent	Y
.
6	Xitun	3*	嚴榮發	Yan Rongfa
			留峰甫	Liu Fengfu
			黃馨慧	Huang Xinhui	F	Incumbent	Y(1)
			張廖乃倫	Zhang Liao Nailun	F	Incumbent	Y(3)
			吳春夏	Wu Chunxia		Incumbent
			楊正中	Yang Zhengzhong		incumbent	Y(2)
			陳富德	Chen Fude
.
7	Nantun	3*	丁振嘉	Ding Zhenjia		Incumbent	Y(3)
			劉士州	Liu Shizhou		Incumbent	Y(2)
			朱暖英	Zhu Nuanying	F		Y(1)
			陳三井	Chen Sanjing		Incumbent
			黃淑芬	Huang Shufen	F	incumbent
.
8	Beitun	4*	賴順仁	Lai Shunren		Incumbent	Y(4)
			陳成添	Chen Chentian		Incumbent	Y(2)
			唐國泰	Tang Guotai		Incumbent
			林永能	Lin Yongneng		Incumbent
			謝黎芳	Xie Lifang
			沈佑蓮	Shen Youlian	F	incumbent	Y(1)
			吳敏	Wu Min			Y(3)
.
9	North	2	陳天汶	Chen Tianwen		Incumbent	Y(1)
			陳有江	Chen Youjiang		Incumbent	Y(2)
			顏志修	Yan Zhixiu		incumbent
.
10	CW	2	柯貞竹	Ke Zhezhu
			洪嘉鴻	Hong Jiahong		Incumbent	Y(2)
			張宏年	Zhang Hongnian		incumbent	Y(1)
.
11	SE	3*	顏明毅	Yang Mingyi
			賴頤年	Lai Yinian		Incumbent	Y(1)
			林珮涵	Lin Peihan	F	Incumbent	Y(3)
			李中	Li Zhong		incumbent	Y(2)
.
12	Taiping	3*	李麗華	Li Lihua	F	Incumbent	Y
			詹敏豐	Zhan Minfeng		Incumbent	Y
			賴瑞珠	Lai Ruizhu	F	incumbent	Y
.
13	Dali	4*	戴萬福	Dai Wanfu		incumbent	Y
			蔡黃金雀	Cai Huang Jinque	F	Incumbent	Y
			蘇柏興	Su Boxing		Dali township assembly speaker	Y
			陳玉雪	Chen Yuxue	F	Incumbent
			林碧秀	Lin Bixiu	F	incumbent	Y
			曾瑞昌	Zeng Ruichang		Former Wufeng mayor
.
14	Dongshi	2	陳萬通	Chen Wantong		incumbent	Y
			蘇慶雲	Su Qingyun		Incumbent	Y
			冉齡軒	Ran Lingxuan	F	incumbent
.
15	PA
.
16	MA

* includes at least one female

Note: In D2, no survey was held, so apparently You Biling withdrew.

Tags: nominations, telephone surveys