2012 president

2012 Presidential Election

Date of election: Jan 14 2012

Three way race

Date Ma Tsai Soong DK n Org
Jan 2 42.6 49.8 10.7 xfuture
Jan 3 45 37 6 12 TVBS
Jan 3 40 37 6 17 CT
Jan 3 44 36 7 14 UDN
Dec 29 44 35 7 14 TVBS
Dec 27 44 38 6 12 1125 TVBS
Dec 26 42 37 7 14 1183 CT
Dec 22 41 35 8 16 1415 TVBS
Dec 22 36 35 10 19 1258 LT
Dec 17 41 33 10 15 1034 UDN
Dec 17 39 38 8 15 984 CT
Dec 17 40 36 7 17 1197 TVBS
Dec 15 35 33 11 21 1461 LT
Dec 14 40 38 7 15 1527 TVBS
Dec 13 40 39 8 13 1131 CT
Dec 12 42 35 10 13 2010 UDN
Dec 10 40 33 10 16 1160 UDN
Dec 10 43 35 7 15 996 CT
Dec 10 39 39 6 16 1268 TVBS
Dec 8 31 31 11 27 863 LT
Dec 7 41 37 8 14 1683 TVBS
Dec 3 39 32 10 19 1342 UDN
Dec 3 40 33 9 19 998 CT
Dec 3 38 32 12 18 984 TVBS
Dec 1 40 34 7 19 1073 TVBS
Nov 29 43 35 8 13 1145 CT
Nov 27 41 35 10 14 2013 UDN
Nov 24 41 40 10 9 1153 CT
Nov 23 40 38 7 15 1835 TVBS
Nov 23 33 36 10 21 1285 LT
Nov 20 34 40 11 15 1068 新台灣國策智庫
Nov 18 43 38 10 9 1079 CT
Nov 16 39 39 9 12 1320 TVBS
Nov 14 41 39 9 11 1090 CT
Nov 12 41 36 9 14 2017 UDN
Nov 10 39 38 9 14 1161 TVBS
Nov 9 34 33 11 12 1477 LT
Nov 8 42 39 9 10 1067 CT
Nov 3 38 35 14 13 840 TVBS
Nov 2 32 36 14 18 新台灣國策智庫
Oct 31 39 33 9 20 1207 TVBS
Oct 26 42 33 13 12 1162 TVBS
Oct 26 32 30 11 27 1410 LT
Oct 24 41 37 11 11 1024 CT
Oct 20 43 35 12 10 1456 TVBS
Oct 18 42 34 9 17 1006 CT
Oct 15 43 32 11 14 2008 UDN
Oct 12 38 34 15 13 972 TVBS
Oct 10 38 31 13 18 1009 CT
Oct 6 40 35 13 13 884 TVBS
Oct 2 40 36 13 11 1014 CT
Sept 28 40 33 14 13 1448 TVBS
Sept 22 42 32 15 11 1318 TVBS
Sept 20 39 32 11 18 1047 CT
Sept 16 32 32 13 23 1376 LT
Sept 14 42 34 14 10 879 TVBS
Sept 14 40 32 13 15 2014 UDN
Sept 9 39 32 14 15 1013 CT
Sept 7 31 28 15 26 1424 LT
Sept 5 33 32 13 22 太平洋
Aug 30 40 32 17 12 1077 TVBS
Aug 23 35 33 14 18 遠見
Aug 15 39 35 16 9 1093 TVBS
Aug 14 38 31 15 16 2014 UDN
Aug 3 33 29 10 28 1088 CT

Two way race

date Ma Tsai DK n Org
Nov 23 37 40 23 1285 LT
Nov 18 45 40 15 1079 CT
Nov 16 46 45  9 1320 TVBS
Nov 14 42 39 18 1090 CT
Nov 12 45 39 16 2017 UDN
Nov 10 45 44 11 1161 TVBS
Nov 9 37 36 27 1477 LT
Nov 8 44 41 15 1067 CT
Nov 3 47 42 10 840 TVBS
Nov 2 38 31 10 1688 太平洋
Nov 2 40 37 23 新台灣國策智庫
Oct 31 46 39 15 1207 TVBS
Oct 26 44 39 17 1162 TVBS
Oct 26 36 36 28 1410 LT
Oct 24 43 39 18 1024 CT
Oct 20 45 39 16 1456 TVBS
Oct 18 44 36 20 1006 CT
Oct 15 46 36 18 2008 UDN
Oct 12 43 38 19 972 TVBS
Oct 10 41 32 27 1009 CT
Oct 6 45 38 17 884 TVBS
Oct 2 42 37 21 1014 CT
Sept 28 46 38 17 1448 TVBS
Sept 22 47 37 17 1318 TVBS
Sept 20 41 36 23 1047 CT
Sept 16 36 37 27 1376 LT
Sept 14 48 37 16 879 TVBS
Sept 14 46 39 15 2014 UDN
Sept 9 44 34 22 1013 CT
Sept 7 37 34 29 1424 LT
Sept 5 41 39 20 太平洋
Aug 30 46 37 17 1077 TVBS
Aug 23 40 38 22 遠見
Aug 14 44 36 20 2014 UDN
Aug 3 34 29 37 1088 CT
July 26 36 34 30 1047 LT
July 15 37 37 26 1229 遠見
July 13 43 37 20 2006 UDN
July 7 44 36 17 990 TVBS
June 21 41 36 23 遠見
June 20 44 39 16 1038 TVBS
May 30 46 42 10 1028 TVBS
May 24 31 35 34 1021 LT
May 19 45 44 10 897 TVBS
May 18 45 27 28 988 UDN
May 18 35 27 38 927 CT
Apr 27 43 42 15 968 TVBS
Apr 27 36 37 27 828 UDN
Apr 27 33 33 34 1023 CT

polls prior to DPP nomination

date Ma Ying-jeou Tsai Ing-wen Su Tseng-chang DK n Org
3/22 37 36 27 865 TVBS
3/22 41 34 25 865 TVBS
3/22 38 32 30 914 CT
3/22 36 30 34 914 CT
3/10 40 40 20 800 TVBS
3/10 38 39 23 80 TVBS
3/10 35 31 33 816 UDN
3/10 37 31 32 816 UDN
2/28-3/1 41 39 20 811 TVBS
2/28-3/1 43 37 20 811 TVBS
1/18-21 46 38 16 1067 TVBS
1/18-21 48 37 15 1067 TVBS
Nov 28 45 28 26 1169 UDN
Nov 28 2010 44 30 25 1169 UDN

DPP Nomination

date Tsai Ing-wen Su Tseng-chang Annette Lu. Others listed Others None DK n Org
3/22 27 32 41 914 CT
1/18-21 25 23 6 12 13 21 1067 TVBS
Nov 28 23 17 11 1169 UDN
Nov 28 2010 28 20 12 1151 CT

Others listed:

1/18-21: Lin Yi-hsiung 5, Chen Chu 4, Frank Hsieh 3

Nov 28, 2010 UDN poll: Lin Yi-hsiung 6, Su Chia-chuan 5

Nov 28, 2010 CT poll: Lin Yi-hsiung 4, Su Chia-chuan 4, Chen Chu 4

Date is last day of interviews when available.  Otherwise, date is date of press story.

Organizations:

TVBS = TVBS (TV news station, leans blue)

UDN = United Daily News (newspaper, leans blue)

CT = China Times (newspaper, leans blue)

LT = Liberty Times (newspaper, leans green)

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