Eligible voters

The Central Election Commission has released data on eligible voters in the 2016 elections. However, they did not release the numbers for each individual legislative district. For those, you have to go to each city or county election commission website. Fortunately, I’ve already done that.

The following table has eligible voters in 2012 and 2016 for the 75 districts (73 regular + 2 indigenous). I’m mostly interested in these to calculate turnout. Many people think that blue voters might stay home while green voters turn out in high numbers. If so, we should be able to see a difference in deep blue and deep green districts compared to four years ago.

In the meantime, it’s also fun to look at how much the various districts have grown in the past four years. You might be surprised by some of the faster growing districts. Of course there are the obvious suspects in Taoyuan and New Taipei, but did you realize that the offshore islands and indigenous electorates are growing so quickly? There is also a clear partisan pattern. The fastest growing areas were overwhelmingly won by the KMT in 2012. I’ll be interested to see whether this is still the pattern on Saturday night.

 

 

2012 2016
district Area elect elect growth
17980578 18692216 4.0%
Kinmen 81783 109478 33.9% blue
Lienchiang 7772 9921 27.7% blue
New Taipei 1 淡水 288221 322726 12.0% blue
Taoyuan 1 龜山蘆竹 252699 277449 9.8% blue
Taichung 4 西屯南屯 263073 287435 9.3% blue
Highland Indigenous 183398 200029 9.1% blue
Lowland Indigenous 171548 187076 9.1% blue
Taoyuan 2 海線楊梅 251099 271280 8.0% blue
Penghu 76972 83154 8.0%
Taichung 7 太平大里 268042 288794 7.7%
Hsinchu County 368840 396492 7.5% blue
Taoyuan 3 中壢 241543 259562 7.5% blue
Taoyuan 5 平鎮龍潭 235906 252796 7.2% blue
Taipei 4 南港內湖 299527 320963 7.2% blue
Taoyuan 4 桃園 244653 261773 7.0% blue
Taoyuan 6 八德 232279 248233 6.9% blue
Kaohsiung 4 大寮 233078 248774 6.7%
Taichung 5 北屯 301357 321452 6.7% blue
Taichung 2 大烏龍 270338 288136 6.6% blue
Taichung 3 潭子后里 230003 243934 6.1% blue
Tainan 5 永康仁德 308679 327221 6.0%
Kaohsiung 3 左營楠梓 273788 289344 5.7% blue
New Taipei 10 土城 257744 272370 5.7% blue
Kaohsiung 8 鳳山 266958 281637 5.5%
New Taipei 2 蘆洲 260393 274711 5.5%
New Taipei 4 新莊 267836 282373 5.4% blue
New Taipei 5 樹林 231558 244030 5.4% blue
Hsinchu City 307851 324395 5.4% blue
Taipei 8 文山 240357 252360 5.0% blue
Tainan 3 中西安南 305200 318141 4.2%
New Taipei 11 新店 270338 281608 4.2% blue
New Taipei 12 汐止 241418 251191 4.0% blue
Taichung 6 中西東南 248462 258303 4.0%
Taipei 1 北投天母 265606 275449 3.7% blue
Taipei 2 大同士林 259298 268464 3.5%
Taipei 3 中山 280311 289911 3.4% blue
Changhua 1 鹿港和美 239563 247505 3.3% blue
Miaoli 2 山線 224923 232151 3.2% blue
Taichung 1 清水大甲 204803 211316 3.2%
Yilan 346844 357077 3.0%
New Taipei 7 板橋東 218275 224631 2.9% blue
Taipei 5 萬華中正 242041 248868 2.8% blue
Kaohsiung 2 岡山 249535 256424 2.8%
Miaoli 1 海線 202011 207220 2.6% blue
Kaohsiung 6 三民 205487 210687 2.5%
Tainan 4 東南安平 294356 301713 2.5%
Chiayi City 203946 208988 2.5%
Taipei 7 信義 242933 248887 2.5% blue
Taichung 8 豐原 203308 207927 2.3% blue
Tainan 2 麻豆 291977 298294 2.2%
Changhua 2 彰化 233100 237921 2.1% blue
New Taipei 8 中和 276684 282028 1.9% blue
Kaohsiung 9 小港 245843 250192 1.8% blue
New Taipei 3 三重 254922 259224 1.7%
Changhua 4 員林 257151 260906 1.5%
Keelung 294776 298947 1.4% blue
Nantou 1 草屯埔里 186574 188743 1.2% blue
Pingtung 1 屏北 225734 228120 1.1%
New Taipei 6 板橋西 212894 215111 1.0% blue
Taipei 6 大安 243199 245521 1.0% blue
Yunlin 2 山線 281295 283296 0.7%
Kaohsiung 5 鼓山 219956 221204 0.6%
Pingtung 2 屏東 211995 213023 0.5% blue
Yunlin 1 海線 278433 279736 0.5% blue
Hualien 197341 198114 0.4% blue
Kaohsiung 1 旗山美濃 223797 224630 0.4%
Nantou 2 南投竹山 204413 204977 0.3% blue
Chiayi County 2 山線 222969 223450 0.2%
Changhua 3 二林 269777 270227 0.2% blue
New Taipei 9 永和 239622 239962 0.1% blue
Pingtung 3 屏南 202466 201649 -0.4%
Taitung 118916 118223 -0.6%
Tainan 1 新營 274597 272907 -0.6%
Chiayi County 1 海線 202958 201665 -0.6% blue
Kaohsiung 7 苓雅 243236 239787 -1.4%

 

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